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To Ndamukong Suh: Thanks buddy, you made the right choice

May 26, 2009
tags: , ,

suh_feature

In response to my arrogant co-blogger :),  I’ve decided to debunk the myths circulating around the merits of Suh’s recent decision to withdrawal his name from the NFL draft to play his senior season for the Huskers.   I will address the 3 reasons Nathan posted below and let our intelligent audience decide for themselves:

1.) He would NOT have been a guaranteed first round draft pick.  This proves my point that he was  projected to be drafted  somewhere between the 25th and the 31st pick if he would have entered the 2008 NFL Draft.

2.) & 3.) If it is all about the Benjamins, then Suh made a wise choice in staying.  The contract for last year’s 25th overall pick (which is what Suh was generously projected to be if he left early) was worth $9.7 million with $ 7 million of that being guaranteed money.  The contract for last year’s 2nd (which is what Suh is generously projected to be next year)  overall pick was worth $56.5 million and $ 29 million of that was guaranteed.   So, if this does go to plan, he will earn himself $46.8 million with $ 22 million of that being guaranteed just by staying in college one more year.  Plus, he’s got an insurance policy to protect him financially against injuries his senior year.

In essence you can look at it his way, instead of grinding through his rookie NFL season for less money and no degree, he’s essentially enjoying his senior year of college (with wonderful tutelage by the Pelini brothers), getting a degree, and earning himself almost $50 million dollars along the way.

Seems like a good choice to me.

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5 Comments leave one →
  1. nbliss16 permalink
    May 26, 2009 12:09 PM

    One thing about your rebuttal on my first point: That mock draft does not consider how Ndamukong’s draft stock would have been effected had he gone through the entire draft process (Combine, Pro Day, Interviews, ect). I think that had he gone through that process, his stock would have gone MUCH higher then late 1st round. Similar to BJ Raji and how his stock went up through the process (especially after the senior bowl).

  2. andyholz1 permalink*
    May 26, 2009 12:22 PM

    It is sad that we are the only commenters on our own blog, but oh well. You can’t use the argument “I think he would have….” because it is all conjecture and shoulda/coulda/woulda. At the time, his projection was what he had to go on, nothing more.

  3. nbliss16 permalink
    May 26, 2009 3:43 PM

    Yes that is sad that I agree with you on. =)

    However, my issue with your list is valid because the draft has actually happened and we have something to compare it too now. For example, Jason Smith is #19 on that list he actually went #2 in the draft. Sam Bradford is #2 on the list and he wasn’t even in the draft.

    Why would Todd McShay have him #31 on that list and #2 on his projection for 2010? That is because between your list and my list his stock went WAY up! It is safe to say that it skyrocketed. Just imagine if he had actually gone through the combine, interviews (Suh is a high character guy), pro day, ect. I think there is little doubt based on those 2 facts that he probably would have made it into the top 10.

  4. Bear permalink
    May 27, 2009 3:20 PM

    Nathan,

    I am going to have to agree with Andy on this one. The NFL has a flawed system. With no rookie salary cap, the worst teams have to pay unreasonable salaries. The top 5-10 picks make ridiculous salaries. That is why the Patriots and Steelers always trade down in the draft, so they can get 3-5 guys and more depth for the same price as a top 5 pick.

    He probably won’t go any lower in the draft and as Andy said he has the opportunity to make almost $20 Million more guaranteed. Even if he doesn’t make quite that much, or is not that high of a pick, the economy certainly will be better next year and even a late 1st round pick will make more next year than he would have this year.

    Sorry, Nathan I have to give this one to Andy.

  5. nbliss16 permalink
    May 27, 2009 3:39 PM

    Funny, all the men running to your defense Andy are in your MC. Conspiracy Theory at its finest…

    That reminds me, I need to email Nick and Josh. I think they might have an opinion on this matter also.

    =)

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